poll, it is just one of four over the past two weeks. put them all together, live operator nonpartisan polls, average them together, here is what you get, the president with a seven-point advantage in ohio. next to florida. another crucial battleground state, 29 electoral votes there. five polls over the past week and a half, average them together, the president at 50% among likely voters, romney at 45%. go to pennsylvania, another big state, 20 electoral votes at stake there. we have five polls over the past two and a half weeks, average them all together, 51% to 41% the president over mitt romney among likely voters, brooke. >> okay. seven points, five points, ten points, i do pay attention to you, paul steinhauser. what is behind the rise in obama's numbers and conversely the drop in romney's? >> those are just the top line numbers. here is the story behind the story, the number behind the numbers. mitt romney's tough week last week with those controversial 47% comments from those hidden camera fund-raiser comments, that may be playing into it.